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Who Will Form Israel’s Next Government?

Catherine Wells 31.10.2026

The Coalition Math

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and opposition leader Yair Lapid are locked in a bitter power struggle over who will form the next governing coalition in the Knesset. The standoff has left the country in political limbo as both sides claim legitimacy to build a majority.

The core of the dispute centers on coalition-building authority. Netanyahu, heading the Likud party, insists he has the mandate to assemble a right-wing bloc. Lapid, leading the centrist camp, argues his coalition has broader Knesset support. Neither side has secured a stable majority, forcing prolonged negotiations.

Forming a government requires 61 votes out of 120 Knesset seats. Netanyahu’s bloc includes Likud, Shas, and the Religious Zionist party. Lapid’s camp counts on the Labor party, Yesh Atid, and smaller centrist groups. The gap between the two coalitions hovers near zero, making every vote critical.

What Happens If No One Can Form a Government?

Political analysts note that the deadlock stems from ideological divides on security, housing, and the role of religion in state affairs. Both leaders have made public statements claiming their side holds the stronger mandate.

If neither Netanyahu nor Lapid secures 61 votes, the Knesset may dissolve and new elections will be called. This scenario has occurred multiple times in recent years, prolonging political instability.

The current standoff mirrors previous Israeli election cycles where no single leader could assemble a majority. Observers warn that prolonged uncertainty affects economic confidence and foreign policy decisions.

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is currently attempting to form the Israeli government? Both Netanyahu and Lapid are actively negotiating with other parties. Each claims their coalition has sufficient support, but neither has locked in the required 61 Knesset votes.

What happens if neither leader forms a government? The Knesset can dissolve and new elections will be scheduled. This has happened repeatedly in Israel’s recent political history, extending the period of governmental uncertainty.

How many votes are needed to form a government? A stable majority requires 61 out of 120 Knesset seats. Both coalitions are close to this threshold, making the final vote count decisive.

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